Cat vs. Washing Machine

By Shamus Posted Wednesday Jan 31, 2007

Filed under: Movies 19 comments

Yesterday’s discussion on a Wizard fighting a common housecat in D&D sort of morphed from a discussion of an amusing absurdity in the rules to a discussion of strategy of just what was the best way to fight a cat in D&D. This brought to mind the following video. (Note that you would still need to grapple the cat and get him into the machine, and by the looks of it that would be a two-round action.) Still, I’d give a “creative solution” XP bonus to anyone that pulled it off.

As a bonus, if you click through and watch this movie in its natural habitat on YouTube, you will see a perfect demonstration of the point made in this xkcd comic:

The internet has always had loud dumb people, but I’ve never seen anything quite as bad as the people who comment on YouTube videos.

He’s right. Read the discussion thread (actually, don’t) on that video. It’s like the source code for stupid.

 


 

Do you do this?

By Shamus Posted Tuesday Jan 30, 2007

Filed under: Nerd Culture 19 comments

Once in a while I run into “interactive ads” on ad-heavy websites. Places like MySpace will often have a game where you try to play some simple mini-game. Orbitz has done this sort of thing so much over the years that they’ve created a website dedicated to their various golf-putting, skeet-shooting, baseball-hitting, basketball-shooting games.

The trick is that these games are fun to look at, and amusing for about ten seconds. However, playing them usually triggers a popup ad or opens a new page.

Lots of games now are things like “cick this button repeatedly as fast as you can” to play tug-of-war, punch an annoying celebrity, or whatever. You click as fast as you can, and the instant you win you get an ad.

So I play these games until the moment just before I win, then I stop clicking and let it go. I do this all the time. It’s silly. I thought I was the only person that did this, until by brother (Skeeve the Impossible) told me he did it. Now I wonder if this is common behavior? Are millions of people clicking away, and then stopping short of the moment of victory and letting the “bad guy” win? I have no idea, but it makes me laugh.

 


 

Wizard vs. Cat

By Shamus Posted Tuesday Jan 30, 2007

Filed under: Projects 65 comments

In the comments of Monday’s DM of the Rings, there was an interesting discussion about some of the funny things in the D&D combat system. For example, I once heard that the odds are that a Level 1 Wizard will lose a bare-handed fight against a common housecat.

Telas said in response:

Dunno about the actual odds, but A cat has 2 hit points, and 3 attacks per round for a full attack action, at +4/+4/-1 for 1 damage each. If our 1st level Wizard loses initiative (very possible against a 15 Dex cat), and misses with his first attack (possible with 0 BAB against an AC14 cat), he will be attacked six times, four of which will hit 70% of the time.

On average, he'll be hit by three of the claws and one bite for 4 damage, which takes him to 0 HP. If the wizard is unarmed, and taking a -4 nonproficiency penalty to punch the cat, then he will almost certainly die.

This is probably why casters are famous for being cat-friendly.

Now I wonder if it’s true. I don’t have the rulebooks handy, but now that Telas has provided some numbers to work with I can try it out.

Let’s assume we’re dealing with a common level 1 Wizard, an adult human. He has a STR bonus of +0. I’ll let him point-buy two points of DEX and CON bonuses. (So, he either has a CON +2 or a DEX +2 or +1 to both.) He’s fighting bare-handed (1d4 damage) and at a -4 attack penalty because he’s a wizard and is useless at hand-fighting. His base HP is 4 + his CON bonus.

Using the above, plus the numbers Telas gave for the cat, I wrote a wee little program to run 1,000 Wizard vs. Cat battles.

Result? The Wizard prevailed 29.8% of the time.

While I don’t deny that an angry cat can really make you wish you hadn’t made it angry, I’m having a hard time picturing a cat dealing lethal damage to an adult male of average strength, slightly better than average dexterity or constitution, and high intelligence.

If I let him buy another point of DEX or CON bonus, his odds go up to a still-pathetic 39.9%. This is preposterous. Now we have a guy of average strength, high intelligence, and who may be really gifted when it comes to dexterity or constitution, and he still can’t win half the battles.

Even if he does use magic, I wonder how well he’d do? A magic missle will easily overkill the cat, but casting it provokes ye olde attack of opportunity. He has to make a concentration check to get the spell off. I’m not going to run the numbers, but I assume his odds of victory should be pretty good in this case.

Ok, I’m doing wasting everyone’s time with this.

LATER: No I’m not. Kris pointed out in the comments below that the Wizard shouldn’t take a -4 penalty to hit, but punching a cat should provoke an attack of opportunity. I changed the program to reflect this and the odds of Wizard victory went up to 42.3%.

Also, Jeremiah points out that the Wizard could grapple (grab hold of the cat) easily. This is certainly how you would do things if faced with this situation. You wouldn’t slap-box the cat, you’d pick it up and wring its neck.

Finally, I know D&D isn’t a simulation of real combat. Some appoximations are made to ease the rules and add to playability. GURPS solves many problems like the one I just outlined, at the cost of greater complexity. Any system which is fun is going to have some holes in it someplace. Still, I love building these little simulations. See also: 100 million characters.

 


 

Rating Movie Critics

By Shamus Posted Monday Jan 29, 2007

Filed under: Movies 18 comments

Mark has an interesting post which looks at the various “Best Movies of 2006” lists from several critics, and then runs the numbers for each critic to see how much money “their” movies made or lost. It’s an interesting read.

I used to labor under the misconception that movie critics were somehow supposed to predict if I would like a movie or not. I guess the fact that such a task is obviously impossible should have tipped me off. It really confused me when they failed to point out that I would find Independance Day to be loud, stupid, and brimming with nonsense. I mean, if you can’t predict that I’ll hate ID4, then your mind-reading skills are highly suspect in my book. That one is just so easy.

Of course, I’ve since realized that I was missing the point. Movie reviews are entertainment. It doesn’t matter if you think Gili was a masterwork or that Citizen Kane is a hack job, as long as you keep the reader amused, you’re a good critic.

However, if we are going to judge critics on their ability to predict if a movie will be generally liked or not, then it would be interesting if you could harvest the data from something like Rotten Tomatoes and see who has the best track record for predicting “good” movies. That is, who has the fewest “bad” calls, with a bad call being defined as giving “thumbs up” on movies that scored low on the tomatometer or “thumbs down” for movies that scored well. (Middle-of-the-road movies in the 45% – 59% range would be ignored.) I wonder who would have the best hit percentage?

Note that this would be different from what Mark has done, since some movie budgets are so low that they will make money no matter how much people hate them. The inverse can be true as well.

Sadly, I don’t think there is any good (that is, easy and cheap) way to obtain that data.

 


 

DM of the Rings LVII:
Need for Speed

By Shamus Posted Monday Jan 29, 2007

Filed under: DM of the Rings 43 comments

Shadowfax the wonderhorse.

See also my comments on the strip that never was, which would have gone right after this one.

 


 
 

DM of the Rings: Unused (Unusable) Strip

By Shamus Posted Sunday Jan 28, 2007

Filed under: DM of the Rings 51 comments

This DM of the Rings gig has some unusual restrictions. I don’t need any real artistic talent, and I can produce a comic for a lot less effort than someone who has to draw everything. The downside is that I can’t make just anything I want. Once in a while I have to scrap a joke or gag because I can’t screencap or photoshop what I need from the movies.

Here is one strip I would make if I were producing my own art. Obviously it would only work if I was drawing what I needed, as it requires stuff I couldn’t get any other way.

Note that I don’t expect this to be funny. This is a visual joke. I’m sure you can picture it in your head, but the real humor would come from the outragous and unexpected images.

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